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EKONOMİ-EMEK
US: October ISM manufacturing down to 50.2
The ISM manufacturing survey came in at 50.2, just above the breakeven level, matching nearly 50 in October.
EKONOMİ-EMEK
Global: New oil price ceiling and OPEC's response
The 27-nation bloc will ban Russian oil from being transported to other countries by sea above the price limit requested by the G-7 Group until December 5, when an embargo on Russi
EKONOMİ-EMEK
US: August personal spending m/m up 0.4%
While the PCE metric preferred by the Fed for the inflation target points to a slight gain of 0.3% for the headline, the strong course in prices excluding food and energy continued
EKONOMİ-EMEK
Eurozone: "PMI above expectations"
Eurozone manufacturing industry PMI data for July has been announced.
GÜNDEM
Post-ECB crisis balancing phase
While the ECB rate increased by 50 basis points above the expectations, Lagarde gave signals that more rate hikes are expected.
DÜNYA
Turkey: Acceleration in inflation and the condition of the lira increase the risk of a spiral
Annual inflation in Turkey increased from 70% in April to 73.5% in May, its fastest rise since reaching triple digits in the 1990s. We observe that inflation, which was 2.98% on a
DÜNYA
Turkey: Inflation well above interest rates
Turkey's spiral of inflation in the axis of external factors and internal pricing developments continues. Accordingly, we expect the upward trend in May inflation to be announced a
DÜNYA
US: Manufacturing growth unexpectedly stronger
The ISM manufacturing index rose to 56.1 in May from 55.4 in April. Readings above 50 indicate enlargement. The figure beat economist estimates with a median projection of 54.5. Ma
DÜNYA
Financial tightening conditions and inflation
The 10-year yields after the FOMC showed that the general approach remained on the side of persistent tightening, which activated the movement above 3% in the 10-year yields as wel
DÜNYA
Turkey: Inflation rises to 70% due to energy and food
Annual inflation in Turkey increased to 70% in April from 61.1% in March, and remained at the highest level in two decades. We observe the effects of the rise in global energy pric
DÜNYA
Turkey: April manufacturing confidence 109.7
In the April real sector confidence index data announced by the Central Bank, while the positive trend above the threshold value on raw data basis continues, we see a moderate decl
DÜNYA
China: Growth projections not very positive
China's first-quarter growth was 4.8%, above the 4.2% expectation, showing an acceleration that masked a decline towards the end of March when Covid-19 quarantines were implemented
DÜNYA
US: 10-year bond yields at 2.50%
The 10-year US Treasury bond yields are performing above the 2.5% level, to the highest level of the last three years.
DÜNYA
Turkey: March real sector confidence index drops to 108.5
Although the tendency to stay above the threshold level in the real sector confidence index data announced by the Central Bank for March continues, we observe that the current data
GÜNDEM
Turkey: The economy shows a higher growth performance than its peers
We expect the economic growth performance, which we have focused more on with the new economy perspective, and whose high level is given importance by the economy management, to be
DÜNYA
Turkey: Manufacturing confidence increases slightly, CCR decreases
We observe that the trend of staying above the threshold level and pandemic level continues in the February real sector confidence index data announced by the Central Bank.
GÜNDEM
US: Existing home sales rise sharply 6.7% in January
US existing home sales rose sharply by 6.7% in January. This brought the 12-month rolling sales number to 6.50M from 6.09M in December, above the expected 6.10M. The median price o
DÜNYA
US: Housing, employment and economic activity data
In the week ending February 12, 248K applications for unemployment benefits were filed in the US. That was above the median economist estimate of 219K, and also above last week's r
DÜNYA
US: January retail sales increase by 3.8%, above forecasts
Retail sales, an important indicator within the US growth and demand inflation trajectory, increased by 3.8% on a headline and core basis, and 4.8% on a control group basis, a metr
DÜNYA
Fed: Scheduled meetings and rate hike
As we said above, the Fed is careful not to ignore the risk of a “hard landing” while tightening.
DÜNYA
US: Economy grows by 6.9% on an annualized basis in 4Q21
US real GDP grew by 6.9% YoY in 4Q21, well above the expected 5.5% pace, according to the first reading.
GÜNDEM
US: Weekly jobless claims rise 55K to 286K
In the week ending January 15, 286K applications for unemployment benefits were filed in the US. This reading comes after last week's 231K (revised from 230K) print and was well ab
GÜNDEM
US: Current situation in bond yields as we move towards FOMC
The US 10-year yield is above 1.85%, albeit slightly lower. It would still not be a surprise for the Fed to see 2.50% in terms of the level it will reach with 3 rate hikes in 2022.
DÜNYA
China: 4Q21 GDP grows 4% YoY
In China, GDP grew by 4% in 4Q21 compared to the same period of the previous year; Although it was above the expected 3.3%, it remained below the growth performance of the previous
DÜNYA
Turkey: Automobile SCT tax bases and price/inflation effect
According to the Presidential decree published in the Official Gazette; The tax base limits have been increased for cars with an engine displacement of less than 1,600 cc and hybri
GÜNDEM
US: Inflation, demand and Fed March expectations
The last time inflation was above the current level in the USA was the 1982 World Cup being played.
EKONOMİ-EMEK
Turkey: Manufacturing PMI at 52.1 in December
According to the data announced by the Istanbul Chamber of Industry (ISO) and IHS Markit; Manufacturing PMI rose from 52 to 52.1 in December. Despite the negative effects of inflat
GÜNDEM
CBRT: Intervention in the FX market comes after the new fall of the lira
The central bank announced that it intervened by selling foreign currency due to “unhealthy price formations”. With what was done today, the fourth intervention in December took pl
DÜNYA
US: CPI rises 0.8% in November, above forecasts
In the US, the consumer price index rose 0.8% in November on a seasonally adjusted basis after rising 0.9% in October. In the last 12 months, the all items index has increased by 6
DÜNYA
Euro Zone: Inflation at 4.9%, above all forecasts
Consumer prices in the euro area rose 4.9% year-on-year in November, surpassing the median estimate of 4.5% and above all other estimates.
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