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expectation Haberleri Arama Sonuçları
GÜNDEM
CBRT Market Participants Survey: Repo rate expectations highlight the tension in the lira
In the CBRT June Market Participants Survey, the current year-end inflation expectation was 38.6% (May: 37.72%). When we look at the short-term inflation expectations; June inflati
EKONOMİ-EMEK
US: "Nonfarm payroll growth exceeds expectations in october"
Nonfarm payrolls increased by 261,000 in october after gains of 315,000 in september.
EKONOMİ-EMEK
Turkey: Inflation probably peaks, decline to be slow
Consumer price inflation continued to rise in October, increasing by 3.54% on a periodic basis (in line with the market expectation, below our expectation of 4.6%), and on an annua
GÜNDEM
Fed meeting, pivot expectations, interest rate transmission mechanism
U.S. Treasuries had a mixed day and trimmed early session gains as strong job openings and a surprise recovery in construction spending far outweighed any weakness in the manufactu
EKONOMİ-EMEK
CBRT Inflation Report: Inflation forecasts expected to increase once again, while no rate hikes
Pricing behavior that continued to deteriorate after the 2022 estimations of 60.4% in the last Inflation Report of the Central Bank in July and the increasing uncertainty band requ
EKONOMİ-EMEK
US: CPI to support another 75 bps Fed rate hike
In terminal expectations, headline CPI is expected to decline from 8.3% to 8.1% (0.3% monthly increase), while core CPI is expected to increase from 6.3% to 6.5% (monthly). 0.4% in
EKONOMİ-EMEK
Simultaneous rate increases and global recession risks
The risk of global recession in 2022 haunted policy makers who observed that their growth expectations deteriorated rapidly in an environment of increasing inflation.
EKONOMİ-EMEK
CBRT Market Participants Survey: Year-end inflation expectation drops to 67.7%
In the CBRT September Market Participants Survey, the current year-end inflation expectation was 67.73%. When we look at the short-term inflation expectations; September inflation
EKONOMİ-EMEK
US: CPI increases by 0.1% in august
US inflation increased by 0.1% in August from a month ago, and increased by 8.3% year-on-year, exceeding market expectations of -0.1% and 8.1%, respectively.
EKONOMİ-EMEK
Turkey: Anchorless inflation expectations
After the last rate cut by the Central Bank, we expect inflationary movements in the economy to increase further and new upward loadings on expectations.
GÜNDEM
CBRT Market Participants Survey: Year-end inflation expectation rises to 70.6%
In the CBRT July Market Participants Survey, the current year-end inflation expectation was 70.60%.
EKONOMİ-EMEK
Global monetary tightening trend and recession dynamics
The Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey raised its year-end forecast for 2022 in its quarterly Inflation Report. The 42.8% preliminary forecast made in April was now very low co
EKONOMİ-EMEK
US: Labor market details and Fed perspective
In the details of the July employment report, which will be announced tomorrow, the employment increase on the basis of market expectations is 250K, the unemployment rate is 3.6%,
EKONOMİ-EMEK
Eurozone: "PMI above expectations"
Eurozone manufacturing industry PMI data for July has been announced.
GÜNDEM
Post-ECB crisis balancing phase
While the ECB rate increased by 50 basis points above the expectations, Lagarde gave signals that more rate hikes are expected.
EKONOMİ-EMEK
China: 2Q22 GDP grows by 0.4% YoY
China's 2Q22 GDP contracted by 2.6% in the quarter and grew by 0.4% a year earlier, reflecting the heavy slowdown seen in Shanghai and elsewhere due to the quarantines imposed to c
EKONOMİ-EMEK
Inflation expectations and Fed's short-medium-term perspective
Consumer prices rose steadily throughout the pandemic, and the CPI surprised upwards by 8.6% year-on-year in May.
GÜNDEM
July year-end inflation forecast at 69.9%, rate hikes expected in the long term
In the CBRT July Market Participants Survey, the current year-end inflation expectation was 69.94%.
EKONOMİ-EMEK
Turkey: CPI inflation expectations rise
It seems that price increases will remain on the agenda in an environment where inflation becomes more unstable, erodes purchasing power and expectations.
EKONOMİ-EMEK
Economic recession and production variables in oil
Considering that the fact that shapes oil demand is linearly related to global growth expectations, recession concerns about the coming period are expected to explain the decline i
DÜNYA
US: Inflation unexpectedly accelerates to 8.6 percent, highest level in 40 year
Inflation accelerated widely in May, hitting a new 40-year high in May, raising expectations that Fed policy will be more aggressive for longer.
DÜNYA
Inflation Indicators and the Fed
Nominal and real rates, inflation expectations… Conditions are created for the Fed to tighten policy both by increasing interest rates and by quantitative tightening.
DÜNYA
Turkey: Acceleration in inflation and the condition of the lira increase the risk of a spiral
Annual inflation in Turkey increased from 70% in April to 73.5% in May, its fastest rise since reaching triple digits in the 1990s. We observe that inflation, which was 2.98% on a
DÜNYA
Inflation expectations, nominal and real yields
The US 10-year nominal bond yields fell to 2.74%, aided by the moderation of inflation expectations for the long-term.
DÜNYA
CBRT Market Participants Survey: May survey 12-month CPI forecast at 33.28%
In the CBRT May Market Participants Survey, the current year-end inflation expectation was 57.92%. When we look at the short-term inflation expectations; May inflation is expected
DÜNYA
US: Nonfarm payrolls beat expectations in april
Nonfarm payrolls increased by 428K in April (two-month revision -39K). The market expectation was 380K employment increase.
DÜNYA
US: Expectations for an increase in the employment market more moderate
Fed Chairman Powell pushing back a larger 75 basis points gain in the near future dampens bets on the Fed's earlier perceived aggressive policy tightening. From now on, the attenti
DÜNYA
Turkey: Inflation rises to 70% due to energy and food
Annual inflation in Turkey increased to 70% in April from 61.1% in March, and remained at the highest level in two decades. We observe the effects of the rise in global energy pric
DÜNYA
Fed: Half-point rate hike and balance sheet reduction plan to stop inflation
The Fed raised interest rates the most since 2000 and decided to begin shrinking its massive balance sheet, putting it in practice the most aggressive monetary policy tightening in
DÜNYA
Dollar Trend on the Verge of Fed and Global Risks
We see a high pricing in the dollar index, which is based on an excessive expectation by some segments.
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